Megan McArdle's analysis and outlook has been accurate so far. She is increasingly pessimistic:
This is President Obama’s signature legislative achievement, the program for which he will be remembered. And he doesn’t have the courage to defend it, even when he is no longer facing re-election. If he won’t stand up for the hard choices his law requires, he can’t think that anyone else will either.
Megan's Intelligence Squared debate was excellent: Resolved: Obamacare Is Now Beyond Rescue.