Majority of Iraqis Are Optimistic- Majority of Americans Pessimistic

IRI Poll: Majority of Iraqis Are Optimistic

Optimism Continues after Iraq’s Historic Election –
IRI poll shows Iraqis see country taking right steps, and increasingly hopeful for the future:

An International Republican Institute poll conducted from February 27 to March 5, 2005 shows that a majority of Iraqis are optimistic about the direction of their country and hopeful for their future. Results also show a majority of Iraqis feel the January 30 election was fair and impartial and that the Transitional National Assembly (TNA) will represent the Iraqi people as a whole. To view a complete poll presentation click on the link below.

“The optimism of the Iraqi people continues to grow as they move forward in building a democratic Iraq,” said Lorne Craner, president of IRI. “The increased optimism in Iraq is a clear result of the country’s successful January 30 election.”

The new survey revealed that 61.5 percent of Iraqis believe that their country is headed in the right direction compared to only 23.2 percent who feel Iraq is headed in the wrong direction. The nearly 40 point margin between right direction and wrong direction is the largest since IRI began polling in May 2004, and this margin is more than double what it was in the poll taken from January 13 to 25, 2005. The current poll further shows that more than 90 percent of Iraqis feel hopeful for their future.

Looking ahead to the constitutional process, more than 56 percent of Iraqis know that the TNA will be responsible for writing a permanent constitution. This number is up from 32.9 percent in the November 24 to December 5, 2004 poll. An additional 52.6 percent understood that the constitution drafted by the TNA will have to be approved by national referendum later in the year.

The details of the survey are available as a Powerpoint presentation file.

Hat tips to Roger L. Simon, GeoPolitical Review and TigerHawk.

If you want a one-image summary of how dramatic the results are, look at this graph of the trendline for “Is Iraq headed in the right(wrong) direction”. Note how significant the improvement is since the poll just before the January 30 election:

Compare the Iraqi trendlines to the American voter trendlines from the latest ABC-WaPo poll. Is there a disconnect here? Is this possibly a consequence of the unwavering media pessimism regarding Iraq as well as WW IV? Is there any correlation with Al Qaeda’s Combat Doctrine? See this MEMRI translation “Bin Laden Lieutenant Admits to September 11 and Explains Al-Qa’ida’s Combat Doctrine“:

“Fourth-generation warfare, the experts said, is a new type of war in which fighting will be mostly scattered. The battle will not be limited to destroying military targets and regular forces, but will include societies, and will [seek to] destroy popular support for the fighters within the enemy’s society. In these wars, the experts stated in their article,[6] ‘television news may become a more powerful operational weapon than armored divisions.’ They also noted that [in forth-generation wars] ‘the distinction between war and peace will be blurred to the vanishing point…'”

The reference to the MEMRI dispatch was just emailed to me by counter-terror specialist Dan Darling of Regnum Crucis. Thanks heaps Dan! More to come on this…

6 thoughts on “Majority of Iraqis Are Optimistic- Majority of Americans Pessimistic

  1. Sorry, I meant GOOD work!

    Thanks for the kind words – and thanks very much for the blogroll link.

    I’m reading The Hedgehog now – excellent work. Your extra effort with images communicates very well, and adds a bit of fun to the serious topics. I particularly like the posts on Border Security. .

    If you’ve not yet read “America the Vulnerable“, I highly recommend it. The absence of focus on the internal security issues is a weakness of the Bush administration – and a great opportunity for leadership. What needs to be done is well understood as a result of an ongoing series of blue-ribbon panels (beginning with Hart/Rudman). More to come on this one…

    Steve D.

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  3. Carl,

    Good work on your Lefties Don’t Know Iraqis post . I must say you really put some effort and thought into the piece!

    Today’s conservatives support and have triggered change while liberals have become reactionary and out-of-touch, "more interested in preserving the past than in discovering the future."


    I just finished reading "Unholy Alliance : Radical Islam and the American Left" by David Horowitz. It has been a real puzzle to me why the left has taken the reactionary position – increasingly so, since the Soviet collapse.

    I thought that the socialist utopia was totally discredited, particularly after the Soviet archives were opened. If Horowitz is correct, I was completely wrong. Per Horowitz a significant number of the old socialists are still dreaming of their communist utopia. There problem is that globalization (and its US prime mover) are interfering with their program. Thus the socialists ally with forces perceived to be sufficiently anti-American, whether Saddam, the mullahs of Iran, or Al Qaeda.

    This is truly bizarre logic – is Horowitz correct?

    I just put up a post from my offline archives that I think you will appreciate:
    Haim Harari Speech: A View from the Eye of the Storm, Apr 2004. Harari reminds me a bit of Richard Freyman – he certainly penetrates the "accepted wisdom" with alacrity. I wish I could sit down for a conversation with the man.

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