Technology Adoption Has Flip-Flopped

Paul Kedrosky:

I make this point regularly, but Ben Horowitz makes it more succinctly here: Technology adoption has flip-flopped.

20 years ago, the technology adoption curve generally conformed to the following order:

Government—specifically Defense and Intelligence organizations

Businesses—with large businesses going first and smaller businesses adopting later


Today things have completely reversed. The latest technology goes to consumers first, followed by small enterprises that behave like consumers, then larger ones, then the military. The stunning reversal is one of many profound side effects of broad scale Internet adoption.

More here.